Recent polls conducted by Global InfoAnalytics, an independent pollster, for the Adentan constituency between 24th June and 30th June reveals deeper voter apathy in the constituency running up to the 2020 elections. The survey of voters carried out in the constituency interviewed 146 female respondents, representing 38% and 236 male, representing 62%. In all, 33% of respondents indicated that they will not vote at all or they are not sure if they will vote.
The study was conducted via face-to-face interview with respondents within the constituency. Interviews were conducted among a sample of 382 respondents using a sophisticated App which enables Global InfoAnalytics to track live the GPS location of interviewers, date and time of the interview for quality control purposes.
Voters in the following electoral areas of the constituency were surveyed:
|Electoral Area||Electoral Area||Electoral Area|
|Adenta East||New Legon||Fafraha|
|Ashale Botwe||Nmai Djorn||Dzenayor|
Sample size was selected using a sample calculator at 95% confidence level with a sampling error for total respondents is ±5%. The sample was then allocated to all the electoral areas within the constituency based on the adult population of the areas through quota system. Sample quota cannot be exceeded once the quota is reached using a sophisticated survey App which enabled live geolocation of the interviewers.
The poll indicates that approximately 62% of voters in Adentan constituency are male and 38% are female (see Figure 1).
The poll indicates that approximately 76.8% of the voters in Adentan constituency are under the age of 40, a voting demography which all parties will have to appeal to if they are to win the elections in the constituency (see Figure 2).
49% of female voters are under the age of 29 whilst 36% are between 30-39 years. In the case of male voters, 33% are between the ages of 18-29 whilst 39% are between 30-39. Approximately 85% of female voters are under 40 years whilst that of the male is approximately 72% (see Figure 3).
Approximately 67.8%% of the voters in the Adentan constituency have a minimum of Junior High school education with 32.2% having no formal education at all (see Figure 4).
Among those with Junior Hugh education, 29% are female whilst the male represents 35%. Among voters with Senior High education, majority are female with approximately 32% whilst only 21% of the male in the constituency have Senior High education. For those with tertiary education, female represents 9% whilst male is 11%. The constituency also has the higher proportion of males with no formal education compared to females, 33% and 31% respectively (see Figure 5). Political parties have to understand the needs and aspiration of these demography in order to appeal to them for their votes.
Over 70% of the voters in the constituency have jobs (Madina 58%) compared to approximately 19% who are without jobs whilst students represent approximately 10% (see Figure 6).
The Poll shows that 73% of those with jobs are male and 66% female. Among those unemployed, female represent 21% whilst male represents 17% (see Figure 7). This suggests that women bear the brunt of hardship where joblessness persist.
- Voters eligible to vote in the 2020 constituency represents 92% whilst approximately 8% are yet to register to vote (see Figure 8).
Though over 92% of people polled shows that they are registered to vote, only 67% have indicated that they will go to the polls in December 2020 to cast their ballot. 22.5% indicated that they are not sure if they will vote and 10.5% said they will not vote at all (see Figure 9). This suggests deeper voter apathy in the constituency running up to 2020 elections.
Combined Poll Results – Madina and Adentan constituencies
When the results of the two polls conducted in both constituencies are combined, about 65% of the respondents were of the view that the country is heading in the wrong direction compared to 35% who thought it is heading in the right direction (see Figure 10).
On job approval rating of the President, approximately 35% of those polled approved of his job as president with approximately 41% disapproval. 25% of the respondents did not have an opinion on his performance, resulting in overall performance approval of -6%. (see Figure 11)
On job approval rating of the Members of Parliament, only 18.6% of those polled approved of the job their MPs are doing with overwhelming 52.7% disapproving their performance and 28.7% of respondents did not have an opinion on their performance, resulting in an overall performance approval of -34.1% (see Figure 12). The evidence seems to suggest that if elections were held today, there is a high probability that both MPs in Madina and Adentan will lose their seats.
On the overall question of who voters in Madina and Adentan constituencies will vote for if the 2020 elections were held today, 31% indicated that they will definitely or probably vote for Nana Akuffo Addo as president, whilst 44% of voters indicated they will definitely or probably vote for someone else. Approximately 17% of those polled did not have an opinion on who they will vote for whilst 7% indicated that they will not vote all (see Figure 13).