Far More Voters Say the Country is Heading in the Wrong Direction – Krowor Constituency

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Recent polls conducted by Global InfoAnalytics for the Krowor Constituency in the Greater Accra region between July 8th and July 14th, 2019 reveal voters’ views on the jobs of the incumbent MP and the president, almost two and a half years into Nana Addo’s presidency.The study was carried out by Global InfoAnalytics, an independent pollster, via face-to-face interview among a sample of 382 respondents in the constituency. Surveys were conducted using a sophisticated App which enables Global InfoAnalytics to track live the GPS location of interviewers, date and time of the interview for quality control purposes. 

The survey was conducted in the following electoral areas of the constituency: 

Electoral AreaElectoral AreaElectoral Area
Npor Okpoi Gonno Teshie 
SookpotiBaatsona Agblezaa 
Blekese EastMukwedjor Tsuibleoo Central 
Blekese West Nungua Police Station 

Survey Methodology 

Sample size was selected using a sample calculator at 95% confidence level with a sampling error for total respondents of ±5%. The sample was then allocated to all the electoral areas within the constituency based on the adult population of the areas through quota system. Sample quota cannot be exceeded once the quota is reached using a sophisticated survey App which enabled live geolocation of the interviewers.

Summary of the Results 

In the 2016 presidential election, Nana Akuffo Addo won the Krowor constituency by a margin of 4%. This constituency is one of the toss up seats with approximately 2,583 votes margin (see Figure 1). The inclusion of Krowor in the list of constituencies to be tracked by Global InfoAnalytics is to be able to model the effect of the polls from this constituency on similar constituencies where the ruling party has similar support. 

Figure 1 Krowor 2016 Presidential Elections Result

The survey of voters carried out in the constituency interviewed 199 female respondents, representing 52% and 183 males, representing 48%.    

Direction of the country 

Approximately 75% of voters in the Krowor constituency were of the view that the country is heading in the wrong direction compared to 25% who thought it is heading in the right direction. (see Figure 2)

Figure 2 Direction of the country

When respondents’ gender was analysed, approximately 81% of the females thought the country is heading in the wrong direction, whilst only 19% thought it was heading in the right direction. With regards to the males, 72% were of the view that the country is heading in the wrong direction and 28% thought it was heading in the right direction. (see Figure 3)

Figure 3 Direction of the country – by Gender

President’s Job Approval Rating 

The President’s job approval rating so far from our polls in the Krowor constituency shows that 30% of voters approve his performance as President compared to 45% disapproval, with approximately 24% of voters saying they have no opinion (see Figure 4). The net favourability rating of the President in the Krowor constituency is -15% (Approve minus Disapprove). 

 ApproveDisapprove Spread
Global InfoAnalytics Average 30%45%-15%
Figure 4 President’s Job Approval Rating

Member of Parliament’s Job Approval Rating  When voters were asked whether they approve or disapprove the job the MP was doing, overwhelming , 55% said they disapprove whilst 18% said they approve and 27% have no opinion on the performance of the MP, resulting in an approval spread of -37%. (see Figure 5)

Figure 5 Member of Parliament Job Approval Rating
 ApproveDisapprove Spread
Global InfoAnalytics Average 18%55%-37%

Voters Intention for 2020 

When voters were asked if the elections were held today, would they vote to re-elect Nana Addo as president, approximately 28% of the respondents indicated that they will definitely or probably vote for him whilst 36% said they will definitely or probably vote for someone else. 18% of respondents said they don’t know who to vote for whilst 18% of the respondents said they will not vote at all. (see Figure 6)

Figure 6 Voters Choice of Candidates in 2020 Polls

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