NPP PARTY AFFILIATES IS BELOW 50% IN ASHANTI REGION

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The latest Global InfoAnalytics poll, an independent pollster, finds the President Nana Akuffo Addo of the National Patriotic Party (NPP) earning an overwhelming job approval rating as the December 2020 elections approaches. However, less than 50% of the voters interviewed indicated that they belong to the NPP whilst 38% said they were floating voters, a worrying sign in the region for the ruling party. The survey interviewed 1,298 respondents from the region between 27th June – 5th July 2020. The margin of sampling error is 3.581% at 99% level of confidence. The survey was conducted via face-to-face using a sophisticated survey app with GPS tracker.

The interviews were conducted in polling stations in the following constituencies:

ConstituenciesConstituenciesConstituencies
Manso NkwantaAfigya Kwabre SouthObuasi East
Asante Akim SouthManso AdubiaBekwai
Obuasi WestKwadasoManhyia South
MampongNyiaeso 
KumawuAtwima Kwanwoma 

Key Highlights

Gender

60% of the respondents interviewed in the region were male and 40% were female. (see Figure 1)

Figure 1 Gender

The poll indicates that a significant proportion of voters in the region, 70.7%, are under 40 years old. (see Figure 2)

Figure 2 Age

Education

An overwhelming majority of the voters polled had at least Junior High School education (84%). Only 16% of voters did not have any form of education. (see Figure 3)

Figure 3 Education

Employment

Approximately 64% of respondents are employed compared to 15.3% unemployed. 19.4% of respondents were students/apprentices. (see Figure 4)

Figure 4 Employment

Direction of country

Approximately 77% of voters in the region believe the country is heading in the right direction compared to only 23% who thought it is heading in the wrong direction ( see Figure 5).

Figure 5 Direction of the country

Job Approval 

The polls also found the President, Nana Akuffo Addo with overwhelming job approval rating of 80.0% compared to only 12% disapproval with 8.0% of voters indicating they have no opinion, resulting in net approval rating of +68% (Approval minus disapproval, see Figure 6.)

Fgure 6 Job Approval

First time voters

The survey found that 20% of the voters in the region are first time voters.

Figure 7 First time voters

Voters’ choice of president in 2020

The polls indicated President Nana Akuffo Addo leads in the region with 76.0% of votes followed by John Mahama with 10.3% of votes. Approximately 11.7% voters in the region plan to vote for someone else. Paa Kwasi Ndoum attracts only 1.0% of support and Reverend Christian Kwabena Andrews (Osofo Kyeri Abosom) attracts 0.9% of support in the region

Government handling of coronavirus pandemic

Approximately 89% of voters are very satisfied or somehow satisfied with how the government is handling the Covid 19 pandemic compared to only 9% who said there are very dissatisfied or dissatisfied with its handling, whilst 2% had no opinion.

Key issues that matter to voters

Our poll suggests that, the Economy is the top priority issue for voters with 33.6% saying it will influence who they vote for. Education ranks second with 30.6% and jobs rank third with 14.3%.  Corruption ranks seventh with only 1.6%, following security which is 1.8%. Healthcare ranked 4%.

Voters’ enthusiasm

According to the poll, 59% of voters indicated that they are absolutely certain to vote come December 2020 whilst 21.6% said they are likely to vote and a further 10.9% indicated that their chances of voting is 50-50. Only 3.1% of respondents indicated that they are not too likely to vote and a further 5.3% said they will not vote at all come December 2020.

Party Affiliation

A worrying trend in the region is emerging as only 48% of the respondents interviewed called themselves NPP supporters whilst approximately 39% said they are floating voters. The trend appears consistent with earlier poll carried out in the Suame constituency where less than 50% of the voters indicated that they are NPP supporters. Only 7.7% of the respondents identified themselves as NDC supporters and 5.3% of respondents did not disclose their party affiliation.

For a comprehensive report on this poll and any others, please request for poll data or email us via enquiries@ghanabattlegroundpolls.com

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