Possible Round Off in 2020 Election as no Party Secures 50 Percent Votes, Poll Shows

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Swing regions polls

More respondents (51.70%) perceive the country to be moving in the right direction than in the wrong direction (48.30%) with a gap of only 3.40%.

The president’s job approval is just over 50 percent (55.40%) while a quarter of voters (33.30%) disapprove his job as a president, as the election approaches in a fortnight.











Less than a fifth (16.20%) of registered voters are first-time voters, while the majority (83.80%) have cast their votes before.

Over half of the respondents (57.70%) are absolutely certain they will vote in the 2020 elections as compared to a small minority (8.90%) who said they are not too likely to vote or will not vote at all. Less than 10% registered voters are not sure if they will or will not vote.

More respondents prefer the NPP manifesto to the NDC’s. Approximately 15% of respondents do not like either of them. 17.40% have not heard any manifesto at all.

Plurality of registered voters, 63.60%, think the government’s performance in the last four years is good whereas 31.90% think it has been bad.

A slight majority of 38.20% say the selection of a female running mate will influence how they vote, whilst a third say it would not influence them at all. Approximately 30% say it may or may not cause them to change their minds.  

 

Nana Addo has an approximately 9% advantage of being voted for as president over John Mahama in the coming elections, but his points are not above 50 percent. Approximately 7% voters are undecided. 

Over three-quarters of voters (78.40%) are confident in the electoral commission to organize free and fair elections this December. 11.80% of voters are less confident or not confident at all.

A quarter of those interviewed feel their economic and personal living conditions since the government took over in 2016 has become very bad. Approximately 61% feel very good or fairly good about their conditions now. Very few respondents (9.50%) feel nothing has changed.

Just over a quarter of voters (27.20%) are considering voting ‘Skirt and blouse’ in this election.




Approximately 44% of voters have the perception that the demise of the former president will give the NDC sympathy votes whereas 30% thinks otherwise.



More voters (50.20%) prefer John Mahama to better handle education than Nana Addo (46.90%). The margin in this instance is only 3.30%.

Voters split between Nana Addo and John Mahama on who they trust to better manage the economy. The other candidates are least trusted with significantly low points – some with 0%. 

Half of voters (50.50%) trust Nana Addo to better handle the job situation whiles less than half (45.60%) trust John Mahama which is a gap of approximately 5%. The others are significantly least trusted.

A wider margin of 19.30% is evident as more respondents trust John Mahama to better provide infrastructure than Nana Addo.

NDC voters (36.70%) are more than NPP voters (33.90%). These figures may not be actual, as approximately 13% of voters did not disclose their party affiliation and there are approximately 12% floating voters. Party affiliation for other parties are significantly low – below 1.2%.


For a comprehensive report on this poll and any others, please request for poll data or email us via enquiries@ghanabattlegroundpolls.com

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