NDC MAINTAINS LEAD IN VOLTA AND OTI REGIONS – November poll shows

0
122

This survey was conducted via face-to-face within the Volta and Oti regions from Field Dates: November 14-22, 2020 among 393 registered voters at a ±1.989% margin of error by Global InfoAnalytics. 

HIGHLIGHTS

58% of registered voters interviewed were male and 42% were female.

Approximately 41% of the respondents are below 30 years. Approximately 42% are also between the ages of 30 and 49 years and approximately 16% are 50 years and above.

Over a fifth of respondents (22.3%) have not had any education at the JHS level or above. Approximately 32% of the respondents have had education up to the SHS level and about 28% of voters have had at most JHS level of education. Only 18% of respondents have had tertiary education.

A significant 35.7% of respondents interviewed are unemployed. 19% are students or apprentices and only 6.2% are pensioners.

Slightly less than a fifth (19.3%) are first-time voters.

Almost all registered voters (79%) say they are likely or absolutely certain to vote in 2020 whereas an insignificant number of respondents (5%) are unlikely to do so or will not vote at all. 

With a margin of 11.4%, a majority of 55.7% of respondents perceive the country to be going in the right direction as compared to a minority of 44.3% who think otherwise.

Most respondents, 57.3%, think living conditions over the past 4 years have been very good or fairly good. However, a significant 38.5% of registered voters think it has been fairly bad or very bad. 

Slightly over a third of respondents (35.4%) disapprove of the president’s job and 20% do not have any opinion at all on that. Less than half of the respondents approve of his job.

Most respondents prefer the NDC’s manifesto to NPP’s by a margin of 16% which cannot be negatively affected should the 11.8% of the respondents who have not heard any manifesto from either party be added to the NPP score.

Top issues that will influence who respondents vote for: jobs, education, economy, and infrastructure. Remarkably, despite the presence of Coronavirus, healthcare was respondents’ least concern.

A significant 36.8% of respondents perceive the government’s performance over the past 4 years to be bad or very bad while most of the respondents (58.5%) think it is good or very good.

A majority 42.3% of registered voters say the selection of a female running mate by NDC will definitely influence how they vote and a significant 31.5% say it may or may not influence them. Only a quarter of respondents say it will not influence them.

John Mahama leads Nana Addo by a wide margin of approximately 35% when it comes to who registered voters trust to better manage the economy in this region.

For who voters trust to better handle the job situation in the country, John Mahama maintains his lead over Nana Addo with a wider margin of 38.4%.

Despite the free SHS scheme by Nana Addo, John Mahama is identified by voters to be the best person to better manage education. However, the margin between the two reduced to approximately 18%.

John Mahama wins significantly on the issue of who voters trust to provide better infrastructure.

Approximately, only 6% of voters are not confident in the EC’s ability to organize a free and fair election this December, 2020.

Slightly over a quarter of respondents are considering voting ‘skirt and blouse’ this 2020.

Approximately 39% of voters believe the demise of JJ Rawlings will give the NDC sympathy votes and approximately 36% are not sure if it may or may not influence voters.

John Mahama wins the 2020 elections in this region by a margin of 28.8% over the incumbent, Nana Addo. The wife of JJ Rawlings, Nana Konadu Agyeman Rawlings, comes third.

In the case of a round-off, John Mahama maintains his lead over Nana Addo with a wider margin of 39.8%.

Less than a fifth of the registered voters (18.4%) are likely to change their mind on who to vote for before the 2020 elections.

Should there be a round-off and a candidate does not have a majority in parliament, 23% of voters say they would not vote for this candidate.

In 2016, a majority of respondents, 50.2%, say they voted for NDC. Approximately 30% voted for NPP. 17.4% say they did not vote.

A majority less than half (39%) of respondents are NDC affiliates. The same percentage as NPP affiliates, 24.3%, are floating voters. 7.2% of respondents did not disclose their party affiliation.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here